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Monday, February 9, 2015

Oil rallies for third day after OPEC sees greater crude demand

A drop of diesel is seen at the tip of a nozzle after a fuel station customer fills her car's tank in Sint Pieters Leeuw December 5, 2014. REUTERS-Yves Herman

(Reuters) - Oil jumped for a third straight session on Monday as OPEC forecast greater demand for crude this year than previously thought and projected less supply from countries outside the producer group.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries forecast that demand for OPEC oil will average 29.21 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2015, up 430,000 bpd from its previous forecast. The group also slashed its outlook for crude supply growth in non-OPEC countries.

Oil prices have been trying to find a floor after a brutal selloff that wiped out over half of the market's value since June. The rebound came after weeks of decline in the U.S. oil rig count, which hit three-year lows last week.

While most traders cited short-covering as prices continued to advance on Monday from near six-year lows, some noted options expiry in Brent's front-month contract and a weaker dollar .DXY as other supportive factors.

Standard & Poors' negative outlook for Saudi Arabia due to the decline in oil prices also led to speculation that the No. 1 crude exporter might want the market to recover after its freefall in recent months.

Benchmark Brent oil futures LCOc1 settled up 54 cents, or nearly 1 percent, at $58.34 a barrel, after rallying to $59.61 at one point.

U.S. crude futures CLc1 finished up $1.17, or 2.3 percent, at $52.86 after a session high at $53.99.

Brent's premium to U.S. crude CL-LCO1=R narrowed for the first time in five sessions as U.S. futures outperformed on expectations that the oversupply might be resolved sooner than thought due to the falling rig count.

Both benchmarks have risen nearly 20 percent since Jan. 29. But some traders remain pessimistic about the rally.

"It was mainly hedge fund, speculator driven and smacks of price-overshooting," said Anuraag Shah, portfolio manager at the Los Angeles-based Tusker Investment Fund, which manages nearly $100 million across commodities.

Tariz Zahir, managing member at New York's Tyche Capital Advisors, said his fund was "not turning long in any way" on oil, and continues to bet that gains of the past week or so "will all be sold into".

Citigroup said in a note that U.S. crude could fall well below $40, "perhaps as low as the $20 range for a while".

(Additional reporting by Jack Stubbs in London, Manolo Serapio Jr and Henning Gloysteinin Singapore; Editing by David ClarkeBernadette Baum and Marguerita Choy)

READ MORE - Oil rallies for third day after OPEC sees greater crude demand

Reuters.com - Amid mobile slump, Samsung needs more outside customers for its chips and panels


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Amid mobile slump, Samsung needs more outside customers for its chips and panels
Mon Feb 09 21:04:06 UTC 2015

By Se Young Lee

SEOUL (Reuters) - As Samsung Electronics Co Ltd sells fewer of its own smartphones, the South Korean group's components businesses are under pressure to pick up the slack and secure external customers for chips and display panels, including putting these in rival mobile devices.

Samsung Display has begun supplying organic light-emitting diode (OLED) panels to Chinese smartphone makers Lenovo, Coolpad, Oppo Electronics and Vivo Electronics. And the subsidiary says it's on the lookout for more clients, aiming to have half its total revenue by 2017 from sales to outside customers, up from just over a third in 2013.

Industry officials estimate that external clients account for around a fifth of Samsung Display's sales of smaller smartphone and tablet panels compared to about 50 percent for large panels for TVs, underscoring a need for more mobile clients.

"Samsung Display's desire to grow overseas sales wasn't as strong when Samsung Electronics' Galaxy S devices were selling well, but now it's trying to avoid being too over-reliant on a single client," a person with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.

Samsung's systems chips business is also trying to grow its customer base following a weak 2014. Some analysts say the business lost more than $1 billion last year on declining sales of Galaxy smartphones and the loss of a contract to supply the processor for Apple Inc's iPhone 6.

Samsung's next Galaxy S smartphone is widely expected to be powered by its own Exynos processor chips after Qualcomm Inc acknowledged that a key customer won't use its Snapdragon mobile chip in a flagship device.

Samsung has declined to comment on that, but another individual familiar with the matter said the proportion of next-generation Galaxy S phones powered by Exynos chips will likely increase from previous versions.

A successful launch of the new device could help win more external orders, and bolster profits. Samsung said late last month it was in talks with third-party customers about supplying its Exynos mobile processors.

"Some of Samsung's components businesses and other affiliates were too dependent on the captive (in-house) market," said IM Investment analyst Lee Min-hee. "There's been a general shift in direction, with the businesses looking to make external sales and diversify the customer base."

WEAK MOBILE BUSINESS

Samsung's mobile profits for October-December dropped 64 percent from a year earlier, as Galaxy S5 sales disappointed and rivals like China's Xiaomi Inc [XTC.UL] became increasingly competitive. Analysts don't expect any smartphone turnaround as margins remain squeezed.

Nomura and other brokerages, though, have raised their 2015 earnings forecasts for Samsung, betting on improved contributions from component sales. As smartphone competition heats up, Samsung should benefit from better demand for components such as chips and panels.

The system chip business in particular is expected to be a catalyst. Local media reports and analysts say Samsung is likely to win back the Apple contract and supply the majority of mobile processors for the next iPhone.

Display sales, too, should provide an additional boost this year as the business expands its external customer base. Daewoo Securities tips 2015 operating profit to more than double to 1.7 trillion won ($1.55 billion) from last year.

"We're starting to hear talk that Samsung's annual profit could actually increase this year, contrary to the market consensus before the fourth-quarter results were announced, and I think that will be the case as well," said Park Jung-hoon, a fund manager at HDC Asset Management, which holds Samsung shares.

($1 = 1,087.7000 won)

(Editing by Tony Munroe and Ian Geoghegan)

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Thursday, April 7, 2011

Bahrain's MEOS event rescheduled to September

by Daniel Canty on Apr 6, 2011

The Society of Petroleum Engineers, together with Arabian Exhibition Management met with the MEOS Executive Committee on 21 March to discuss new dates for the Middle East Oil & Gas Show and Conference (MEOS 2011).


The decision to reschedule the event, originally due to be held from 20-23 March 2011, was made at the beginning of March in light of the current situation in the Kingdom of Bahrain.

It has been confirmed to ArabianOilandGas.com  that MEOS will now take place from 25-28 September 2011 at the Bahrain International Exhibition and Convention Centre.

MEOS 2011 has been rescheduled to September 25 - 28.

The MEOS Executive Committee and the event organisers will meet again on 27 April in Bahrain and will continue to meet on a regular basis to ensure the success of MEOS 2011
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Monday, April 4, 2011

Mott MacDonald wins US$15m ADMA contract

Engineering firm Mott MacDonald has recently won a US$15 million project from ADMA for its offshore production complexes off Abu Dhabi according to a senior Mott MacDonald employee.


The project is for the replacement of halon gas for the fire-suppression systems at ADMA's offshore production platforms of Zakum Central Super Complex, Zakum West Super Complex and Umm Shaif.

"Halon is an environmentally unsafe gas that they want to replace with new technology which we have to study and implement for this project," said Alex Jacob, commercial manager, Oil, Gas & Petrochemicals, Mott MacDonald.

Mott MacDonald will carry out work for the replacement of halon gas for ADMA's three major offshore facilities.

"As a company we are committed to safety and environment also, so we are very keen on doing this type of job. When there is a fire, Halon is pumped in to extinguish the fire but environmentally it is not very good," he said.
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Monday, March 7, 2011

U.S. could tap oil reserves as gasoline price surges

By Jackie Frank and Lewis Krauskopf

WASHINGTON/SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The U.S. government reiterated that it could tap its strategic oil reserves in order to safeguard economic growth as surging gasoline prices increase pressure for action.

While longstanding U.S. policy is to release reserves only in the event of a significant and immediate supply shortage, some analysts say the Obama administration may feel compelled to try to tamp down prices that are being fueled both by outages in Libya and concern unrest could spread in the Middle East.

Reflecting market worries over unrest, crude futures prices were trading in Asia on Monday around their highest levels in more than two years.

Echoing comments made by a number of Obama officials over the past week, White House Chief of Staff William Daley told NBC television's "Meet the Press" on Sunday: "We are looking at the options. The issue of the reserves is one we are considering."

"It is something that only is done -- has been done -- in very rare occasions. There's a bunch of factors that have to be looked at and it is just not the price," he added. "All matters have to be on the table when you go through -- when you see the difficulty coming out of this economic crisis we're in and the fragility of it."

He spoke just before a survey showed the second-largest two-week rise in gasoline pump prices ever. The national average for a gallon of self-serve, regular gas was $3.50 on March 4, according to the influential Lundberg Survey of about 2,500 gas stations, up 32.7 cents from the February 18.

Congress has pressured the Obama administration to look to the emergency oil supplies as an option to ease consumers' fears over rising U.S. gasoline prices, which are nearing the all-time high of $4.1124 per gallon hit on July 11, 2008, according to the Lundberg Survey.

Higher oil prices could undermine the fragile U.S. economic recovery and damage President Barack Obama politically as he moves toward a 2012 re-election bid.

NOT 2008

The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve holds 727 million barrels of oil, or about 38 days of consumption, and has only been tapped a handful of times since it was created in the mid-1970s after the Arab oil embargo. It was last used in 2005 following Hurricane Katrina.

Thus far the International Energy Agency (IEA) -- which coordinates reserves policy among the world's major energy consuming countries -- has made clear it will rely first on OPEC to fill the void left by the violence in Libya, which has cut off an estimated 1 million barrels per day (bpd) of output.

IEA members South Korea and Japan, among the world's top 5 crude oil importers, have no immediate plans to tap into strategic reserves, sources said.

"There is no concern at all over supply shortages," said an official with Japan's Trade Ministry, which is in charge of the country's strategic oil reserves.

The official declined to be identified because he is not authorized to be quoted by the media.

OPEC powerhouse Saudi Arabia has stepped up production significantly, but oil prices remain high. The risk for markets is that the wave of North African and Middle East protests could spread to major Gulf oil producers, cutting off supplies that would be impossible to make up from other producers.

Despite longstanding U.S. policy on the SPR, there are reasons to believe the reserves could be used more liberally now.

Unlike in 2008, when oil prices shot to nearly $150 a barrel in a demand-led rally, the rise this year is driven by a loss of supply -- a distinction that could give Obama more latitude to tap the reserves, even though Libya ships only a fraction of its oil to the United States.

In addition, the global economy is in a more precarious state than was generally believed at the start of 2008, prior to the financial crisis.

"Sovereign debt issues need time and growth to resolve. High oil prices threaten that outcome. No leader will want to preside over a recession that they had the tools to avert," said Lawrence Eagles, head of oil research at JP Morgan.

His outlook calls for a possible SPR release if Brent crude pushes materially above $120 a barrel.

It traded above $117 a barrel on Monday, up more than 14 percent in the last two weeks. Last week, the price hit its highest level since 2008. U.S. crude futures rose to more than $106 a barrel on Monday, also their highest level since 2008.

U.S. federal law allows the government to tap the reserve during a national energy supply shortage that raises petroleum prices and could damage the economy. The president has the authority to determine such an emergency.

While the reserves could help make up for lost supplies, it is unclear how effective they would be in tempering fears that unrest could spread to other, bigger producers including Saudi Arabia, where security forces have detained at least 22 minority Shi'ites following protests last week.

GROWING SUPPORT AMONG DEMOCRATS

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner last week played down risks to oil supply, but also reminded lawmakers of the emergency stockpile.

"If necessary, those reserves could be mobilized to help mitigate the effect of a severe, sustained supply disruption," Geithner told the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

But there has been growing support among Senate Democrats for tapping America's emergency oil supply.

U.S. Energy Secretary Steven Chu on Wednesday had ruled out releasing oil from the reserve, saying ramped-up oil production in Saudi Arabia should lower the crude price.

"We're hoping market forces will take care of this," he added.

(Additional reporting by Glen Somerville, Matt Spetalnick, Thomas Ferraro in Washington, Cho Mee-young in Seoul and Risa Maeda in Tokyo; Editing by Eric Beech, Paul Simao, Gary Crosse and Alex Richardson)
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READ MORE - U.S. could tap oil reserves as gasoline price surges

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Oil prices climb as Libya unrest stokes concern

By Zaida Espana

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed on Wednesday as turmoil in Libya fueled fears that unrest could spread to other oil-producing nations and choke supplies.

Brent crude futures climbed $2.91 to $108.68 a barrel by 1415 GMT (9:15 a.m. EST).

Futures on U.S. light crude, also known as WTI, were $1.06 firmer at $96.48 a barrel at the same time, the highest level since October 2008.

Prices gained support as Austria's OMV said on Wednesday it might be heading for a full production shutdown in Libya; adding to earlier comments by Total, Repsol, Eni and BASF that they were either slowing or stopping output.

"If we lose Libyan production, then you will have to replace around 1.6 million barrels per day of very good quality crude, which would introduce logistical implications and have a cost," Credit Agricole CIB analyst Christophe Barret said.

The disruption in Libya, which pumps 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd) or nearly 2 percent of global supply, marks the first cut in oil supplies related to the recent wave of protests in North Africa and the Middle East.

"People are scared to lose a producer that pumps very good quality crude. Companies are cutting production at the fields and there are difficulties at the port, so products trade is also disrupted," he added.

The disruption could push up Brent to a greater extent because of its tighter availability and geographical proximity to the unrest, Commerzbank analysts said.

Governments across the world moved to send planes and ships to evacuate citizens from Libya, whose leader Muammar Gaddafi has vowed to crush a revolt against his 41-year rule.

Between 300,000-400,000 barrels per day (bpd) of Libyan output has been shut down, according to Reuters calculations, while Barclays analyst Amrita Sen said in a note that around 1 million bpd of Libyan crude oil production is likely to have been shut in.

Focus was also on top exporter Saudi Arabia, where ruling King Abdullah unveiled a package of benefits worth billions of riyals to mark his return on Wednesday after months of medical treatment abroad.

Jittery investors are worried about further supply disruption if protests spread in the country, which supplies around 10 percent of the world's oil and holds most of the world's spare capacity. On Tuesday, Saudi stopped short of pumping more oil to calm markets, saying prices were driven by fear.

OIL SUPPLIES EYED, U.S. STOCKS AWAITED

While protests in Saudi Arabia have so far been low key, Shi'ites in neighboring Bahrain are demonstrating against the Sunni-led government, fanning worries this could spill over to the Shi'ite minority in Saudi's oil-producing eastern province.

"The importance of Bahrain is perhaps being underplayed currently. While not a major oil producer, Bahrain's impact on the oil market reverberates through its importance in Saudi Arabia," Barclays Capital analysts Helima Croft and Amrita Sen said in a note.

The International Energy Agency's (IEA) executive director Nobuo Tanaka said prices above $100 per barrel for the rest of the year could drag the global economy back into a repeat of the 2008 economic crisis.

Analysts said U.S. light crude futures remained well supported following the roll of the contract, although a potential build-up of weekly U.S. crude oil stockpile data due later could pressure prices.

"The fact that WTI has risen further is mainly related to the contractual rollover, as the new front month contract was $2 higher than the expiring contract," Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said.

On the data front, investors await the January reading of existing U.S. home sales at 1500 GMT (10:00 a.m. EST), while U.S. inventory data from both American Petroleum Institute and EIA will be delayed a day after Monday's Presidents Day holiday.

Analysts polled by Reuters expect crude inventories in the U.S. rose for the sixth consecutive time last week, ahead of the API report due at 2130 GMT (4:30 p.m. EST) and the EIA on Thursday. (Additional reporting by Francis Kan in Singapore; editing by Jane Baird)
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READ MORE - Oil prices climb as Libya unrest stokes concern

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Garuda, You're Never Walk Alone

Di Istanbul tahun 2005 sebuah tim bernama Liverpool tertinggal 3-0
pada 45 menit pertama, tetapi mereka tidak menyerah. Diseberang ruang ganti, para Italiano Milan berpesta seolah Gelar Liga Champion sudah ditangan mereka.

Tetapi ketika masuk kelapangan, seorang. Paolo Maldini pernah bersaksi bahwa dia merinding mendengar lagu "U're Never Walk Alone" membahana di stadion. Kakinya seakan kaku dan bergetar.

Sementara para pemain Liverpool tampil kesetanan di 45 menit kedua,
score akhir 3-3 dan Liverpool menang adu penalti, menyisakan tangis di
mata Paolo Maldini dan Kiper Dida.

Hari ini, tanggal 29 Desember, Safee dan Idlan akan bergetar kakinya,
menciut nyalinya ketika mendengar lagu "Garuda di Dadaku" membahana di Gelora Bung Karno (GBK).

Timnas Indonesia akan mencetak 3 gol seperti yang dilakukan Gerrard dkk dalam kurun 45 menit, sementara kita diberi waktu lebih panjang 90 menit untuk membalas.

Mari kita sisakan tangis air mata di mata Safee dan Idlan, juga para
pemain Malaysia lainnya.
"Garuda, U're Never Walk Alone!"
De Ja Vu Istanbul Mei 2005 at GBK !!!

Bismillah, ALLOH bersama kita, #indonesiapastibisa
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